Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.090190 0.100175 0.110416 0.121679 0.133692 0.146098 0.159851
2025-01-26 0.078848 0.094525 0.111398 0.130788 0.152334 0.175429 0.201938
2025-02-02 0.066476 0.085562 0.107024 0.132648 0.162119 0.194677 0.233085
2025-02-09 0.057768 0.079284 0.104430 0.135450 0.172152 0.213692 0.263758
2025-02-16 0.049406 0.072219 0.099893 0.135082 0.177800 0.227196 0.287843
2025-02-23 0.046042 0.070803 0.101736 0.141996 0.191820 0.250347 0.323171
2025-03-02 0.042710 0.068959 0.102675 0.147510 0.203970 0.271228 0.355907
2025-03-09 0.036777 0.062965 0.097727 0.145112 0.205970 0.279605 0.373520
2025-03-16 0.031231 0.056892 0.092137 0.141399 0.205908 0.285153 0.387483
2025-03-23 0.029303 0.055820 0.093131 0.146188 0.216592 0.303959 0.417707
2025-03-30 0.026985 0.053911 0.092769 0.149019 0.224665 0.319497 0.443973
2025-04-06 0.024853 0.052062 0.092317 0.151595 0.232329 0.334509 0.469650
2025-04-13 0.022168 0.049207 0.090423 0.152348 0.237935 0.347444 0.493530
2025-04-20 0.022163 0.050819 0.095225 0.162675 0.256634 0.377552 0.539589
2025-04-27 0.020092 0.048693 0.094260 0.164732 0.264169 0.393340 0.567703
2025-05-04 0.018491 0.047209 0.094148 0.167935 0.273249 0.411193 0.598590
2025-05-11 0.016284 0.044345 0.091659 0.167495 0.277197 0.422276 0.620824
2025-05-18 0.015965 0.045019 0.094828 0.175474 0.292949 0.449073 0.663540
2025-05-25 0.015360 0.045056 0.096915 0.181827 0.306455 0.472977 0.702655
2025-06-01 0.013212 0.041694 0.093136 0.179064 0.306884 0.479275 0.718731
2025-06-08 0.011074 0.038011 0.088532 0.174781 0.304938 0.482232 0.730336
2025-06-15 0.010614 0.037966 0.090203 0.180303 0.317181 0.504487 0.767497
2025-06-22 0.009865 0.037159 0.090465 0.183562 0.326140 0.522320 0.798911